Bills defeat Chiefs 28-21, handing Mahomes his first losing bye week since 2018

The Kansas City Chiefs are facing uncharacteristic struggles after their recent loss to the Buffalo Bills, marking a pivotal moment as they enter their bye week with a losing record.

Why it matters: This defeat not only brings the Chiefs’ record to 5-4 but also signals potential issues within a team that has thrived under quarterback Patrick Mahomes since he took over as starter in 2018.

  • For the first time in his tenure, the Chiefs head into a bye week with a losing record, raising concerns about their playoff aspirations.
  • The team's inability to win close games is particularly alarming, with four one-score losses this season.

What’s new: In their latest matchup, the Bills secured a 28-21 victory, showcasing a stark contrast in offensive execution.

  • Josh Allen achieved an impressive 88.5% completion rate—setting a franchise record for minimum attempts—while Mahomes struggled, completing just 15 of 34 passes (44.1%).
  • The Bills tight ends Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox combined for 131 yards and a touchdown, exposing gaps in the Chiefs' defensive coverage.

Yes, but: While the Bills capitalized on weaknesses, the Chiefs’ performance reflects broader challenges.

  • Mahomes faced relentless pressure, with a staggering 52.6% of his dropbacks resulting in duress, leading to a dismal completion rate of 18.8% when under pressure.
  • Trey Smith noted that the Bills relied on unconventional strategies, including utilizing smaller, more agile defenders which proved effective against the Chiefs’ offensive line.

By the numbers: Statistical analysis reveals critical areas requiring attention for Kansas City.

  • With James Cook III rushing for 114 yards, the Chiefs allowed the most ground yards to a single running back this season, emphasizing vulnerabilities in run defense.
  • The Bills scored 21 points in the first half, exceeding the Chiefs' average of 16.4 points allowed per game—the second fewest in the league, highlighting a significant shift in performance dynamics.

What to watch: As the Chiefs look ahead, several key factors could influence their trajectory.

  • Mahomes acknowledged the need for improved consistency, stating, "We've had great moments and we've had bad moments," highlighting the inconsistency plaguing the offense.
  • Chris Jones emphasized the necessity for defensive improvements, stressing the importance of affecting opposing quarterbacks to regain control in future matchups.

The bottom line: The Chiefs must address their shortcomings during the bye week if they hope to turn around their season.

  • With tougher games ahead and limited margin for error, the upcoming weeks will be crucial in determining whether Kansas City can reclaim its former dominance.
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